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Make no mistake. The World Wide Web
will revolutionize retail. Everything will change in the way we buy
things. But maybe the time is not quite yet, as thousands of red eyed
dot com investors will tell you.
The fact is, there’s just too many advantages offered by the online
retail model for it not to be adopted. And, for the consumer, the single
biggest advantage is that it’s a much more efficient business model.
Someday, when corporate masterminds finally figure out that cheaper
prices appeal to consumers, this efficient business model will translate
into significantly lower prices for the end user. And when that happens,
watch e-tailing numbers spiral into the stratosphere. We’ll be buying
online, big time, and our society will finally step over the threshold
into a digital and sociological revolution that will be unlike anything
we’ve ever experienced.
Creatures of Habit
As we said in a previous
NetProfit, it wasn’t the Internet itself that was flawed and caused
the demise of the dot-gones. The beating that the online retail sector
received was primarily due to two factors. First, the business models of
many of these online businesses were just not based on sound profit
based principles. Secondly, humans do not progress as quickly as
technology. It takes us a while to move our lumbering psyches in the
direction of the newest technofad.
We didn’t start using banking machines overnight. It’s been about 20
years since they were first introduced. The ubiquitous fax machine made
its first appearance about the same time. Today, both are considered
absolute necessities. We couldn’t do without them. But we had to get
used to them in our own good time. Don’t expect anything different with
the Internet.
Look at the adoption of e-mail. This was probably the first introduction
most of us had to the Internet. I received my first e-mail address about
8 or 9 years ago with CompuServe. I didn’t even use it for the first 2
years, largely because I didn’t have anyone to e-mail too. About 4 years
ago, I started using e-mail occasionally, and was usually surprised when
someone e-mailed me back. Today, it’s my primary source of
communication, and once I filter out the junk in my in-box, I’m left
with about 30 to 50 e-mails a day that are all important to me.
This duration of the technology adoption lag varies depending on the
individual, the amount of change required, and the nature of the change.
The more profound the change, the more it affects other aspects of our
lives, the longer it will take us to adopt the change. I’d venture to
say that no other change in our lives will be as profound or far
reaching as the wholesale adoption of the internet as a communication
channel and tool in our personal and professional lives. For that
reason, don’t expect significant change overnight.
Why the Web will Prevail
With all of this said, however, there are just too many reasons why the
Web is the perfect place to do business for it not to be adopted en mass
by profit and efficiency driven business people.
Making The Dollar Stretch Further
First of all, the web is tremendously cost effective. It allows
businesses to access global markets yet centralize their resources in
one area. Web infrastructures can be streamlined for a relatively small
investment to allow integrated ordering, accounting, inventory, customer
service, shipping and tracking. A retail outlet doing significant sales
can reduce their overhead to a fraction of what would be required by a
bricks and mortar location doing the same. Maximum utilization of both
human and physical resources can be utilized.
No Shelves, No Lights, no Motor Cars..not a Single Luxury
It costs money to keep a retail location open. Rent, fixtures,
utilities, floor staff, it all adds up to significant costs. The more
exclusive the merchandise, the more glitz required to create the proper
“ambience”. On the web, the ambience is restricted to the available real
estate of your monitor. The business owner doesn’t have to worry about
solid brass clothing racks, terrazzo floors or leopard skin wall paper.
It’s much cheaper to design a professional looking website (with leopard
skin background images, if you really insist) and there’s no monthly
rent.
Freedom from Geographic Restraints
On the web, your head office can be literally anywhere. You can have
access to the entire world from Minot, North Dakota, Thirsk, U.K. or
Kwangju, South Korea. It doesn’t matter. You can choose to locate your
business based on where lease rates are cheap and qualified people
plentiful, because your market is just one click away, no matter where
you are. Run your online empire from a Barbados beach or a Banff ski
lodge if you want.
Direct to Consumer
Another advantage of the web is one that bucks an intricate retail
system that’s been decades in the making. The days of the retail
distribution chain are numbered, but that’s not stopping the current
stakeholders from fighting tooth and nail to save it from demise.
Currently, there exists a multi-level distribution chain that makes sure
the product gets from the manufacturer to you, the consumer. Along the
way, the distributors, wholesalers and retailers all take their cut of
the action, inflating the end price as it goes along. By the time it
gets to you, the actual hard cost of that item may only be a small
fraction of the amount you’re pulling out of your wallet.
With the Net, the manufacturer has the ability to go directly to the
consumer, cutting out not one but several middlemen. Theoretically, this
should allow you to save big by buying direct. But, as we said before,
just because technology makes it possible doesn’t mean it will change
overnight. In this case, there are millions of people who rely on this
current retail distribution chain for their livelihood. It can’t just
disappear. Our society couldn’t absorb the shock.
The Taxation Grey Zone
If society takes time to catch up with technology, governments can take
eons. Currently, world governments don’t know what to do with
e-commerce. Borders have no meaning in a global digital economy. The
whole idea of nations was brought about to entrench an economic
infrastructure that evolved 300 to 400 years ago. In the space of one
short decade, we’ve introduced a new economic and communication tool
that could make the idea of a nation obsolete. Talk about your earth
shaking revolutions.
In the short term, the government’s main concern is how not to miss out
on their share of taxation revenue from the predicted billions that will
be spent online. There’s a loophole, make that a black hole, in current
regulations which haven’t evolved to take into account e-commerce. When
the seller and buyer can be on opposite sides of the globe, who pays the
tax, who collects the tax and who gets the tax? Right now, in many
cases, the answer is no one
Superior Customer Tracking
In the last
NetProfit, we talked about why websites are made to order for
Customer Relationship Management. We won’t repeat ourselves here except
to say that a website allows you to keep track of your customers more
efficiently and effectively than you could possibly do in a traditional
retail situation.
Access to the World, 24-7
Finally, it was the idea of a storefront that was accessible to the
entire globe, all day, every day that first set retailers hearts and
share prices soaring. In hindsight, it would have been prudent to
remember that it doesn’t matter if everyone can shop in your store if
they’re just not ready to buy. Be that as it may, the fact remains that
global, full time access is still the single biggest opportunity that
doing business on the Web can offer.
So, Now What?
With all these advantages, why is the NASDAQ hitting record lows for the
year? Why are dot-gones dropping by the bushel load? Why does the entire
Internet sector seem to be trembling on the brink of collapse? It just
grew too big, too fast and now the human beings on both sides of the
equation have to catch up. We’ve already talked about the consumers on
the buying side. Now let’s talk about the people running the sites.
What do people want from shopping online? Forget convenience, forget the
high tech sex appeal, forget selection. We are an inherently cheap
society. The vast majority of shoppers just want to save money. We want
the best deal. And we want that whether we’re shopping in Wal-Mart or
online.
For all the reasons stated, an online shopping model should be able to
deliver the lowest prices. And that’s all consumers want. When those two
paradigms reach common ground, I’m betting e-commerce will win big. But
right now, for several reasons, you won’t find the best prices online.
It may be because the site owner still hasn’t grasped this simple
concept. It may be because a manufacturer has pledged to protect an
existing retail distribution chain. Or it may be that the site owner is
still maintaining a physical retail location and can’t drop prices below
that found on his shelves.
I believe e-commerce can’t truly take off until the inherent advantages
are used to their full potential. Next week, we’ll explore some ways
existing online merchants have used the Net to their advantage and
suggest some strategies to take advantage of the efficiencies of this
selling channel. |